Vellora · County health report
McMullen County, Texas
Report generated (UTC) from Vellora’s verified county datasets; each measure shows its own data years · Online profile: vellora-health.pages.dev/counties/mcmullen/
- County FIPS code
- 48311
- Population, 2020 Census
- 600
- Rural-urban code (USDA ERS, 2023)
- 8 Nonmetropolitan: urban population of fewer than 5,000, adjacent to a metro area
Key cardiovascular indicators
Heart disease mortality · Deaths 2022–2024
299.1per 100,000
Observed, age-standardized rate. Below the median Texas county.
Coronary heart disease · BRFSS 2023
6.7%
95% CI 5.9% to 7.5%
Age-adjusted CDC model estimate. Not distinguishable from the median county.
High blood pressure · BRFSS 2023
35.2%
95% CI 31.0% to 39.5%
Age-adjusted CDC model estimate. Not distinguishable from the median county.
Current smoking · BRFSS 2023
16.7%
95% CI 13.9% to 19.8%
Age-adjusted CDC model estimate. Not distinguishable from the median county.
4 of 27 values are not published for McMullen County.
Sources withhold estimates when a population or case count is too small for a reliable or confidential figure. They are reported here as withheld, never as zero, and are not estimated.
- Suppressed by State Cancer Profiles to protect confidentiality and rate stability: fewer than 16 cases were reported over 2019–2023 (average annual count 3 or fewer).
What these statistics represent
- Modeled estimates (CDC PLACES) are statistical estimates of how many adults report a condition or behaviour, built from a national survey and census data. They are not counts and cannot track change over time.
- Observed rates come from death certificates (heart disease deaths) or the Texas Cancer Registry (new cancer cases).
- Crude prevalence is the share of all adults; age-adjusted prevalence estimates the share under a standard age distribution so counties with different age structures can be compared. The two are never compared with each other.
- The median Texas county is the middle of the county estimates. It is not a statewide rate; a statewide rate is shown only where the source publishes one with the same definition.
This report is informational public-health data about a county population. It is not medical advice and says nothing about any individual’s health. For personal health questions, consult a qualified health professional; in an emergency, call 911.
Vellora · McMullen County health reportSection 1
Cardiovascular health
| Measure | McMullen County | Among Texas counties |
|---|---|---|
| Coronary heart disease among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told by a health professional that they had angina or coronary heart disease.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 9.5% 95% CI 8.3% to 10.5% Age-adjusted 6.7% 95% CI 5.9% to 7.5% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| Stroke among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told by a health professional that they had a stroke.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 4.9% 95% CI 4.3% to 5.4% Age-adjusted 3.6% 95% CI 3.2% to 4.0% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| High blood pressure among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report being told by a health professional that they have high blood pressure.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 42.1% 95% CI 37.6% to 46.5% Age-adjusted 35.2% 95% CI 31.0% to 39.5% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| Heart disease death rate, adults 35+ (age-standardized)Deaths among adults aged 35+ with heart disease as the underlying cause, per 100,000 adults 35+, age-standardized to the 2000 U.S. standard population, averaged over 2022–2024 and spatially smoothed by CDC.Observed (vital records) · Deaths 2022–2024 | Age-adjusted 299.1per 100,000 | Below the median Texas county |
Reading the strips. Each dot is a Texas county with a published value; the dashed line is the median county, a middle value of county estimates that is not a statewide rate. The large marker is McMullen County, with its interval shaded. A county is described as above or below the median only when its whole interval is clear of it.
Vellora · McMullen County health reportSection 2
Behavioral risk factors and chronic conditions
| Measure | McMullen County | Among Texas counties |
|---|---|---|
| Current cigarette smoking among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report having smoked at least 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and currently smoke every day or some days.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 15.9% 95% CI 13.3% to 18.7% Age-adjusted 16.7% 95% CI 13.9% to 19.8% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| No leisure-time physical activity among adultsAdults aged 18+ who answer “No” when asked whether, in the past month, other than their regular job, they took part in any physical activities or exercises such as running, calisthenics, golf, gardening or walking for exercise.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 35.5% 95% CI 29.9% to 41.3% Age-adjusted 33.2% 95% CI 27.6% to 38.9% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| Obesity among adultsAdults aged 18+ with body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m², based on self-reported height and weight.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 38.6% 95% CI 29.9% to 47.5% Age-adjusted 39.1% 95% CI 30.4% to 48.1% | Not distinguishable from the median county (age-adjusted) |
| Diagnosed diabetes among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report being told by a health professional that they have diabetes (excluding pregnancy-related).Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude and age-adjusted | Crude 17.8% 95% CI 15.5% to 20.2% Age-adjusted 14.1% 95% CI 12.3% to 16.2% | Above the median Texas county (age-adjusted) |
| Current asthma among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told they had asthma and still have asthma.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude | Crude 9.5% 95% CI 8.4% to 10.8% | Not distinguishable from the median county |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told they had COPD, emphysema or chronic bronchitis.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude | Crude 9.1% 95% CI 7.8% to 10.4% | Above the median Texas county |
| Cancer history (non-skin cancer or melanoma) among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told they had cancer (non-skin) or melanoma. Measures history of diagnosis, not new cases.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude | Crude 8.5% 95% CI 7.6% to 9.4% | Not distinguishable from the median county |
| Depression among adultsAdults aged 18+ who report ever being told they have a depressive disorder.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude | Crude 21.3% 95% CI 18.0% to 24.9% | Not distinguishable from the median county |
| Frequent mental distress among adultsAdults aged 18+ reporting 14 or more days of poor mental health in the past 30 days.Modeled estimate · BRFSS 2023 · crude | Crude 17.0% 95% CI 15.0% to 19.2% | Not distinguishable from the median county |
Reading the strips. Each dot is a Texas county with a published value; the dashed line is the median county, a middle value of county estimates that is not a statewide rate. The large marker is McMullen County, with its interval shaded. A county is described as above or below the median only when its whole interval is clear of it.
Vellora · McMullen County health reportSection 3
Cancer incidence
Texas Cancer Registry data, 2019–2023 average, age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard population; small counts are suppressed by the source.
| Measure | McMullen County | Among Texas counties |
|---|---|---|
| Cancer incidence, all sites (age-adjusted)New invasive cancer cases of any site per 100,000 people per year, 2019–2023 average, age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard population.Observed (registry cases) · Diagnoses 2019–2023 | Age-adjusted 630.5per 100,000 95% CI 419.1 to 929.3 | Not distinguishable from the median countyTexas, published statewide rate: 434.2 per 100,000 |
4 measures not published for McMullen County
- Lung and bronchus cancer incidence (age-adjusted) (Diagnoses 2019–2023): Suppressed by State Cancer Profiles to protect confidentiality and rate stability: fewer than 16 cases were reported over 2019–2023 (average annual count 3 or fewer).
- Colorectal cancer incidence (age-adjusted) (Diagnoses 2019–2023): Suppressed by State Cancer Profiles to protect confidentiality and rate stability: fewer than 16 cases were reported over 2019–2023 (average annual count 3 or fewer).
- Female breast cancer incidence (age-adjusted) (Diagnoses 2019–2023): Suppressed by State Cancer Profiles to protect confidentiality and rate stability: fewer than 16 cases were reported over 2019–2023 (average annual count 3 or fewer).
- Prostate cancer incidence (age-adjusted) (Diagnoses 2019–2023): Suppressed by State Cancer Profiles to protect confidentiality and rate stability: fewer than 16 cases were reported over 2019–2023 (average annual count 3 or fewer).
Vellora · McMullen County health reportSection 4
Location and social context
- Population, 2020 Census
- 600 people
- Rural-urban classification (USDA ERS, 2023)
- Code 8. Nonmetropolitan: urban population of fewer than 5,000, adjacent to a metro area.
- Neighbouring Texas counties (4)
- Atascosa, Duval, La Salle, Live Oak
| Measure | McMullen County | Among Texas counties |
|---|---|---|
| Persons below the federal poverty levelShare of people for whom poverty status is determined whose income is below the federal poverty threshold.Survey estimate · 2020–2024 (pooled) | Value 12.3% 90% margin of error 0.0% to 24.8% | Not distinguishable from the median county |
| Primary care Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA) designationHow much of the county HRSA has designated as a primary care Health Professional Shortage Area: the whole county as a geographic area, the whole county for a population group (such as low-income residents), part of the county (census tracts or county subdivisions), or none.Administrative designation · Designation status on 2026-10-18 | Designation Whole county — geographic | A designation category, not placed on a scale. |
Vellora · McMullen County health reportSection 5
Sources, methods and limitations
Sources
- CDC PLACES county data, 2025 release (data.cdc.gov swc5-untb). BRFSS 2023. Census Bureau 2023 county population estimates; ACS 2019–2023 or 2018–2022. Dataset: https://data.cdc.gov/d/swc5-untb
- CDC heart disease mortality county data, 2022–2024 (data.cdc.gov mri7-5jtw). Deaths 2022–2024. Adults aged 35+; age-standardized to the 2000 U.S. standard population. Dataset: https://data.cdc.gov/d/mri7-5jtw
- State Cancer Profiles incidence, 2019–2023 (Texas Cancer Registry, SEER November 2025 submission). Diagnoses 2019–2023. Census populations as modified by NCI (SEER population data); age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard. Dataset: https://statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov/incidencerates/index.php?stateFIPS=48&areatype=county&cancer=001&race=00&sex=0&age=001&stage=999&year=0&type=incd&sortVariableName=rate&sortOrder=default
- U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year Summary File, table B17001. 2020–2024 (pooled). People for whom poverty status is determined. Dataset: https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b17001.dat
- HRSA Data Warehouse, HPSA – Primary Care: All HPSAs (BCD_HPSA_FCT_DET_PC), daily snapshot of 2026-10-18. Designation status on 2026-10-18. Areas and population groups designated by HRSA (not a population count). Dataset: https://data.hrsa.gov/DataDownload/DD_Files/BCD_HPSA_FCT_DET_PC.csv
- USDA Economic Research Service, Rural-Urban Continuum Codes 2023, with 2020 Census populations: https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/rural-urban-continuum-codes
- County boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files via the us-atlas project.
Publishers: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention (data: National Vital Statistics System); Texas Department of State Health Services, Texas Cancer Registry; published by the National Cancer Institute and CDC (State Cancer Profiles, SEER submission); U.S. Census Bureau; Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), Bureau of Health Workforce, Division of Policy and Shortage Designation. Use of CDC data does not imply endorsement by CDC, HHS or the U.S. Government.
Methods
- Every value is copied from the verified source files Vellora publishes; nothing is estimated, imputed or rounded beyond the source.
- CDC PLACES values are model-based estimates (multilevel regression and poststratification of BRFSS survey data), published with 95% confidence intervals from CDC’s simulations. Crude and age-adjusted values are separate published series.
- The heart disease death rate covers adults 35 and over, is age-standardized to the 2000 U.S. population, averaged over three years and spatially smoothed by CDC; no interval is published.
- Each county is placed against the median of reporting Texas counties, using age-adjusted values where CDC publishes them. It is called above or below the median only when its whole confidence interval is clear of it; point estimates alone are never used to claim a difference.
- Only cancer incidence has a published statewide Texas rate with the same definition, so it is the only measure compared with Texas as a whole.
Missing data and suppression
CDC suppresses PLACES estimates for areas with fewer than 50 residents and death rates it cannot estimate reliably; State Cancer Profiles suppresses counts of fewer than 16 cases over five years. Withheld values are shown as withheld with the source’s reason; they are never treated as zero and never estimated.
Limitations
- County figures describe populations, not individuals. Patterns across counties do not show what causes them and cannot be applied to any one person.
- Self-reported diagnoses miss undiagnosed conditions, and access to care can affect how many are diagnosed.
- Small counties have wide intervals; CDC advises against ranking counties or drawing conclusions from very broad intervals.
- Sources cover different years and populations (adults 18+, adults 35+, all ages); check each measure’s year and population before comparing.
More from Vellora
Interactive profile: https://vellora-health.pages.dev/counties/mcmullen/ · Methodology and indicator definitions: https://vellora-health.pages.dev/methodology/ · Compare counties: https://vellora-health.pages.dev/compare/?a=48311
This report is informational public-health data about a county population. It is not medical advice and says nothing about any individual’s health. For personal health questions, consult a qualified health professional; in an emergency, call 911.